区域气候变化脆弱性综合评估研究进展   总被引：6，自引：1，他引：5  

喻鸥  阎建忠  张镱锂 《地理科学进展》2011,30(1):27-34

区域脆弱性评估为脆弱性地区农户摆脱贫困、区域持续发展和政府制定适应策略提供科学依据.由于区域内部人地系统的复杂性,区域的脆弱性定量评估较为困难.中国脆弱性研究起步较晚,关注较早的是脆弱性区域的分布,但对区域内脆弱人群的脆弱性研究较少,认识上的不足影响了国家和地方政府制定科学的适应政策和措施.本文介绍了对脆弱性的认识,梳...  相似文献   

基于探矿者软件(Minexplorer)的三维地质建模及储量估算——以湘西北李梅铅锌矿为例   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王琨  肖克炎  李胜苗  甘曦 《地质通报》2015,34(7):1375-1385

在全面收集地质资料的基础上,利用探矿者软件建立了湘西北李梅铅锌矿区的综合地质数据库,利用三维钻孔数据建立了研究区的三维矿床模型,并以矿体模型和地层模型为例,介绍了矿区三维地质建模的一般流程。在矿体模型的基础上,利用地质块段法、地质截面法、地质统计学方法进行了储量估算,并与矿山勘探报告中的储量估算结果进行了对比。研究结果表明,利用探矿者软件进行三维建模和储量估算,操作简便、可视化效果好,不同方法进行储量估算的结果互相印证,真实可靠。  相似文献   

Determination of gravity anomaly at sea level from inversion of satellite gravity gradiometric data   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Mehdi Eshagh  Lars E. Sjberg 《Journal of Geodynamics》2011,51(5):366-377

Gravity gradients can be used to determine the local gravity field of the Earth. This paper investigates downward continuation of all elements of the disturbing gravitational tensor at satellite level using the second-order partial derivatives of the extended Stokes formula in the local-north oriented frame to determine the gravity anomaly at sea level. It considers the inversion of each gradient separately as well as their joint inversion. Numerical studies show that the gradients T_zz, T_xx, T_yy and T_xz have similar capability of being continued downward to sea level in the presence of white noise, while the gradient T_yz is considerably worse than the others. The bias-corrected joint inversion process shows the possibility of recovering the gravity anomaly with 1 mGal accuracy. Variance component estimation is also tested to update the observation weights in the joint inversion.  相似文献   

Rapid earthquake loss assessment after damaging earthquakes     

M. Erdik  K. ŞeşetyanM.B. Demircioğlu  U. HancılarC. Zülfikar 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2011

This article summarizes the work done over the last decades regarding the development of new approaches and setting up of new applications for earthquake rapid response systems that function to estimate earthquake losses in quasi-real time after an earthquake. After a critical discussion of relevant earthquake loss estimation methodologies, the essential features and characteristics of the available loss estimation software are summarized. Currently operating near-real-time loss estimation tools can be classified under two main categories depending on the size of area they cover: global and local systems. For the global or regional near-real-time loss estimation systems: GDACS, WAPMERR, PAGER, and NERIES-ELER methodologies are presented together with their loss estimations for the 2009 Abruzzo (L’Aquila) earthquake in Italy. Examples are provided for the local rapid earthquake loss estimation systems, including the Taiwan Earthquake Rapid Reporting System, Real-time Earthquake Assessment Disaster System in Yokohama, Real Time Earthquake Disaster Mitigation System of the Tokyo Gas Co., and Istanbul Earthquake Rapid Response System.  相似文献   

Application of Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) to inverse problems in saturated groundwater flow     

Corey Winton  Jackie Pettway 《Advances in water resources》2011,34(12):1519-1526

We develop a new Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) reduced order model for saturated groundwater flow, and apply that model to an inverse problem for the hydraulic conductivity field. We use sensitivities as the POD basis. We compare the output when the optimizer uses the reduced order model against results obtained with a full PDE based model. The solutions generated using the POD reduced model are comparable in residual norm to the solutions formed using only the full-scale model. The material parameters are similarly comparable. The time to solution when using the reduced model is reduced by at least an order of magnitude, as are the number of calls to the full model.  相似文献   

Adaptive split-operator methods for modeling transport phenomena in porous medium systems     

Sarah E. Gasda 《Advances in water resources》2011,34(10):1268-1282

Split-operator methods are commonly used to approximate environmental models. These methods facilitate the tailoring of different approximation approaches to different portions of the differential operator and provide a means to split large coupled problems into pieces that are more amenable to parallel computation than the original fully-coupled problem. However, split-operator methods introduce an additional source of approximation error into the solution, which is typically either ignored or controlled heuristically. In this work, we develop two methods to estimate and control the error in split-operator methods, which lead to a dynamic adjustment of the temporal splitting step based upon the error estimators. The proposed methods are shown to yield robust solutions that provide the desired control of error. In addition, for a typical nonlinear reaction problem, the new methods are shown to reduce the solution error by more than two orders of magnitude compared to standard methods for an identical level of computational effort. The algorithms introduced and evaluated have widespread applicability in environmental modeling.  相似文献   

青藏高原北部地区地震基本活动状态定量评价   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

刘小凤  梅秀苹  冯建刚  程建武  张辉 《地震工程学报》2011,33(2):130-136

基于区域构造背景、应力场状态及动力学环境等,将青藏高原北部地区划分为4个相对独立的统计单元,即祁连山地震带、甘东南地区、柴达木一共和地块及库玛地震带.通过地震频度和b值拟合确定了各个地区不同下限震级的地震目录完整性起始时间;确定了各构造单元中强以上地震活跃与平静交替活动的特征;定量计算了在平均状态中强以上地震活动特征参数及平静阶段与活跃阶段地震活动特征参数;分别获得了各个区域在平均、活跃与平静状态下的小震活动状态参数.  相似文献   

地电阻率井下观测装置抗干扰能力实验研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

李晓鹏  席继楼  关华平  白云刚  张波  赵永红 《地震地磁观测与研究》2011,32(5):66-71

开展地电阻率深井观测系统对地面已知干扰源的抗干扰能力测试,对测试结果进行量化研究,分析地表电磁干扰对地电深井观测的影响程度,期望为将来地电深井方法的研究提供帮助.  相似文献   

化工园区重大事故风险分析     

周亚飞  刘茂 《地震学刊》2011,(1):68-74

目前我国对化工园区风险分析的理论研究尚处于起步阶段。针对化工园区这一特殊区域,从整体角度出发,分析研究了化工园区内多个重大事故风险源造成的区域风险,并进行了实例应用。综合考虑多个重大事故风险源产生的风险,分析了其产生风险的叠加效应,绘制出化工园区的个人风险等值线;同时根据ALARP（合理可接受风险水平）准则对化工园区的风险水平进行评估,并据此给出化工园区安全规划、风险控制和应急救援工作的实施建议。所提出的化工园区重大事故风险分析方法,在建立和完善化工园区风险分析中具有一定的理论和现实意义。  相似文献   

Efficient collection of training data for sub-pixel land cover classification using neural networks     

Stien Heremans  Bert Bossyns  Herman Eerens  Jos Van Orshoven 《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2011

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are a popular class of techniques for performing soft classifications of satellite images. They have successfully been applied for estimating crop areas through sub-pixel classification of medium to low resolution images. Before a network can be used for classification and estimation, however, it has to be trained. The collection of the reference area fractions needed to train an ANN is often both time-consuming and expensive. This study focuses on strategies for decreasing the efforts needed to collect the necessary reference data, without compromising the accuracy of the resulting area estimates. Two aspects were studied: the spatial sampling scheme (i) and the possibility for reusing trained networks in multiple consecutive seasons (ii). Belgium was chosen as the study area because of the vast amount of reference data available. Time series of monthly NDVI composites for both SPOT-VGT and MODIS were used as the network inputs. The results showed that accurate regional crop area estimation (R² > 80%) is possible using only 1% of the entire area for network training, provided that the training samples used are representative for the land use variability present in the study area. Limiting the training samples to a specific subset of the population, either geographically or thematically, significantly decreased the accuracy of the estimates. The results also indicate that the use of ANNs trained with data from one season to estimate area fractions in another season is not to be recommended. The interannual variability observed in the endmembers’ spectral signatures underlines the importance of using up-to-date training samples. It can thus be concluded that the representativeness of the training samples, both regarding the spatial and the temporal aspects, is an important issue in crop area estimation using ANNs that should not easily be ignored.  相似文献